The Oscars 2018 Part IV: The Other Nominees

For this final blog-post and due to the lack of time, I am simply going to list out what I believe are the most likely to win for each category. I will rank them the same way I did with the other Oscar nominees, but without the extensive commentary included. They are all ranked from most likely to least likely and are sorted that way too. So let’s start with the Best Cinematography:

Best Cinematography

  • Roger Deakins, Blade Runner 2049 – Most Likely
  • Hoyte van Hoytema, Dunkirk – Likely
  • Rachel Morrison, Mudbound – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Dan Laustsen, The Shape of Water – Unlikely
  • Bruno Delbonnel, Darkest Hour – Least Likely

Best Film Editing

  • Lee Smith, Dunkirk – Most Likely
  • Jonathan Amos and Paul Machliss, Baby Driver – Most Likely
  • Tatiana S. Riegel, I, Tonya – Unlikely (Wild Card)
  • Sidney Wolinsky, The Shape of Water – Least Likely
  • Jon Gregory, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Least Likely

Best Sound Editing

  • Julian Slater, Baby Driver – Most Likely
  • Mark Mangini and Theo Green, Blade Runner 2049 – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Alex Gibson and Richard King, Dunkirk – Likely
  • Nathan Robitaille and Nelson Ferreira, The Shape of Water – Not Likely
  • Ren Klyce and Matthew Wood, Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Not Likely

Best Sound Mixing

  • Mary H. Ellis, Julian Slater and Tim Cavagin, Baby Driver – Most Likely
  • Mac Ruth, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hephill, Blade Runner 2049 – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker and Gary A. Rizzo, Dunkirk – Likely
  • Glen Gauthier, Christian Cooke, and Brad Zoern, The Shape of Water – Not Likely
  • Stuart Wilson, Ren Klyce, David Parker and Michael Semanick, Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Not Likely

Best Production Design

  • Dennis Gassner and Alessandra Querzola, Blade Runner 2049 – Most Likely
  • Nathan Crowley, Gary Fettis, Dunkirk – Likely
  • Paul D. Austerberry, Jeffrey A. Melvin, and Shane Vieau, The Shape of Water – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, Beauty and the Beast – Unlikely
  • Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, Darkest Hour – Unlikely

Best Original Score

  • Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water – Most Likely
  • Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk – Likely
  • Jonny Greenwood, Phantom Thread – Likely (Wild Card)
  • John Williams, Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Least Likely
  • Carter Burwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Not Likely

Best Original Song

  • Sufjan Stevens, “Mystery of Love” from Call Me by Your Name – Most Likely
  • Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez, “Remember Me” from Coco – Most Likely
  • Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, “This Is Me” from The Greatest Showman – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Mary J. Blige, “Mighty River” from Mudbound – Not Likely
  • Diane Warren and Common, “Stand Up for Something” from “Marshall – Least Likely

Best Makeup and Hair

  • Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, and Lucy Sibbick, Darkest Hour – Most Likely
  • Arjen Tuiten, Wonder – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Daniel Phillips and Lou Sheppard, Victoria and Abdul – Least Likely

Best Costume Design

  • Mark Bridges, Phantom Thread – Most Likely
  • Jacqueline Durran, Darkest Hour – Likely
  • Luis Sequeira, The Shape of Water – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Jacqueline Durran, Beauty and the Beast – Unlikely
  • Consolata Boyle, Victoria and Abdul – Least Likely

Best Visual Effects

  • Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, and Joel Whist, War for the Planet of the Apes – Most Likely
  • John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, and Gerd Nefzer, Blade Runner 2049 – Most Likely
  • Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner, and Dan Sudick, Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2 – Unlikely (Wild Card)
  • Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Chris Corbould, and Neal Scanlan, Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Unlikely
  • Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza, and Mike Meinardus, Kong: Skull Island – Least Likely

Well, those are the rest of my predictions. Now let’s see in just a few hours who will win big at the 90th Oscars! With that, Godspeed and Jesus bless!

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The Oscars Part III: The Acting Nominees

Unlike the last two blog-posts in this series, this year’s contenders for the acting categories is a lot easier to predict due to the clear favorites in at least two, if not three of the four acting categories. Nevertheless, I’ll briefly go over these acting nominees before moving onto the film categories in a different blog-post. Let’s just start with the easiest category: Best Actor.

Best Actor

  1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  2. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
  3. Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
  4. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
  5. Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

Every year, there always seems to be one clear winner that steals all of the statues in their respective category. This year, that category is Best Actor and the obvious winner is Gary Oldman. So obvious that I’m just going to get that out of the way and talk about the other performers and also about a few honorable mentions. It is all, but confirmed at this point that he is going to win this award.

A few performances that I think would have been cool to see acknowledged in this category would have been Christian Bale in Hostiles, Hugh Jackman in Logan, or James Mcavoy in Split. They all gave great and different performances that are very deserving of praise in some way. If any of them had gotten more recognition, that would have been awesome. Bale would easily have been nominated had it not been for the lackluster marketing done by Entertainment Studios as he gave what some are calling a career highlight performance. Jackman for his last hurrah as Wolverine was incredibly good and Mcavoy for the sheer ability to play so many distinct characters was mesmerizing to watch.

With that said, the nominees that were picked this year were pretty predictable. They all were good and should be nominated. Washington is once again nominated for an award that he will not win. Last time, it was because everyone was gushing over Rapey Affleck’s turn as a sad guy that needs a hug. This time, it is against a much stronger list of nominees.

If there was an upset, which I highly doubt, I think that there are two nominees in the running of pulling off such a stunt: either Day-Lewis or Chalamet. Both have good Oscar campaigns and could just as easily be what dethrones Oldman’s chances of getting his well-earned award on March 4th. I’d love to see Kaluuya win, but I don’t he think he has that much of a shot. Here is my breakdown below:

  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour – Most Likely
  • Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name – Unlikely
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread – Unlikely
  • Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out – Not Likely
  • Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.Least Likely

Best Actress

  1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  2. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  3. Meryl Streep, The Post
  4. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  5. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Now here is a category that has a stiffer competition between each of the nominees than the slam dunk that is the Best Actor race, but this too seems to have two clear front runners. Those front runners being Frances McDormand and Sally Hawkins. Both gave great performances this year and both are being praised head-over-heels by critics across the spectrum. It could go either way, but I have a gut feeling that Sally Hawkins is going to win it in the end.

One honorable mention for me in this category to swap out Meryl Streep with would be Rosamund Pike in Hostiles and her raw portrayal of a mourning mother in the wild west. Her performance is astounding and is on par with Christian Bale’s turn as the lead in the film. Seeing her receive some well earned recognition is long overdue to say the least. Here is to hoping that she gets her shot in the years to come down the road.

Once again, due to the controversy surrounding I, Tonya and the fact that Tonya Harding is an unrepentant nut-job, Robbie has little to no chance of winning this award. She may have given a great performance in a great movie, but the controversy is not going in her favor. Ronan and Streep also had good performances, but the talk this awards circuit has revolved around McDormand and Hawkins. These are the two most likely to win, but I think this is Hawkins award to win.

  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water – Most Likely
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, MissouriMost Likely
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird – Likely (Wild Card)

  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya – Unlikely

  • Meryl Streep, The Post – Not Likely

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
  2. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  3. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  4. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  5. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

These next two categories are also pretty set-in-stone. All signs seems to be leading to Sam Rockwell taking Best Supporting Actor and Allison Janney taking Best Supporting Actress. These are not necessarily slam dunks like Best Actor might be, but they are pretty predetermined to win nonetheless.

For Rockwell, people seem to be drawn to his turn as the highly angry and racist police officer who is one of the main threats to McDormand’s demands for justice. It’s his stirring turn that elevates this film to new heights in the eyes of many of the Academy voters. Side note: seeing Patrick Stewart nominated here would have been lit for his final hurrah as Professor X is Logan, but beggars can’t be choosers.

The other performers in this all gave memorable turns as various characters in their own right. Plummer the living G.O.A.T. reshot the role that Kevin Rapey once played in a slim nine days and even still made it look effortless in the final cut of All the Money in the World. Jenkins and Harrelson both give mesmerizing turns as fathers trying to help their children in the best way they know how through the various ups and downs of life.

Dafoe on the other hand gives life to a simple motel manager just trying to make ends meet and does so in ways that many voters will deeply appreciate through his performance throughout The Florida Project. They were all good, but not great in the eyes of voters as Rockwell’s role is hitting a political nerve unlike any other in this race. In other words, the racist cop will most likely win.

  • Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Most Likely
  • Willem Dafoe, The Florida ProjectLikely
  • Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water – Likely

  • Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Not Likely

  • Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World – Least Likely

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
  2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  3. Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
  4. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
  5. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Lastly in the acting nominees list is the Best Supporting Actresses and this is on par with the other acting categories this year, where there is a clear winner amidst the pack. This time, it’s Allison Janney and she is strongest contender to win the Oscar on the 4th of March. Not to say that the other actresses were bad or anything, but her campaign was exceptional and continues to raise her up as the best supporting actress of the year. The other nominees might have had good performances, if not great ones and yet this time the winner is pretty clear to me.

One honorable mention for me that has been rarely talked about during the awards season circuit has to be Allison Williams in Get Out as the girlfriend of Chris. I don’t want to spoil her role, but it is most definitely worth mentioning in this category. She absolutely kills it as her character and should have gotten more attention. Anyways, Allison Janney is going to win most likely Sunday night and if she doesn’t, then I’ll be genuinely surprised.

  • Allison Janney, I, Tonya – Most Likely
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady BirdLikely
  • Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread – Not Likely
  • Mary J. Blige, Mudbound – Not Likely
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water – Least Likely

So those are my thoughts and predictions for the acting nominees and next I’ll move onto the technical categories before the big night on Sunday. This year, the race for the acting has been pretty landlocked and thus pretty uneventful, but like last year you never know what will happen. With that, Godspeed and Jesus bless.

The Oscars 2018 Part II: Best Animated Feature, Best Director, & Best Screenplays

In the first installment of this series, I broke down what I think will win Best Picture and in this next installment I’ll do the same for Best Animated Feature, Best Director, and the two Screenplay categories. I will use the same method found in the first installment to analyze and predict what will win for these categories as well, along with the other installments in this series. To start off, I’ll go through the nominees for Best Animated Feature.

Best Animated Feature

  1. Coco
  2. Ferdinand
  3. Loving Vincent
  4. The Boss Baby
  5. The Breadwinner

Like the 2015 Oscars, a great and fun LEGO movie was snubbed from being nominated. Last time, it was The LEGO Movie and this time it is The LEGO Batman Movie. Why the Academy can’t nominate these films for this category is beyond me. I simply can’t see why they wouldn’t want to honor these two great animated movies, but nevertheless they didn’t make the cut.

I’m quite glad Loving Vincent was nominated as this is the most artistic animated movie released this year and one that perfectly portrays its subject one painted frame at a time. I also think that this is the animated movie that should win because of its profound illumination into the life of one of history’s greatest artists. Although, this movie is not quite in the clear because of Coco’s presence in the nominations.

It conquered the box office globally, especially in Mexico where it broke multiple records. It has more positive feedback from critics and audiences, along with being a more marketable brand than Loving Vincent could ever imagine being. By any measure of predicting the winner of this category, Coco is the most obvious choice and yet I do not think it will win this time around. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if it did, but I think Loving Vincent has an equally valid chance at winning this category.

The other nominees do not stand a chance at winning this award. The trophy stands between Coco and Loving Vincent. Between an established veteran company that has dominated the Oscars in this category ever since the mid-90s and the underdog that has a unique outlook on a very important figure in art history. Down below is my breakdown of the nominees most likely and least likely to win the award in this category:

  • Loving Vincent – Most Likely
  • Coco – Most Likely
  • The Breadwinner – Unlikely (Wild Card)
  • Ferdinand – Least Likely
  • The Boss Baby – Least Likely

Best Director

  1. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  2. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
  3. Greta Gerwig, Ladybird
  4. Jordan Peele, Get Out
  5. Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread

Now this for me was one of the hardest categories to figure out due to the amount of talent and skill that each auteur brought to the table in 2017. My only change would be to honor Scott Cooper’s work on Hostiles somehow, but that is about it as far as snubs go for me. I honestly would be okay with any of them winning this award, but that is not the point of this blog-post. The point is who will win and who should win.

As far as who is the least likely to win, that would be Paul Thomas Anderson as he is the one filmmaker who has been in the least conversations this year regarding this award. Does he deserve it? Absolutely. He could make a movie about how to peel a potato starring Daniel Day Lewis and he would still be worthy of this award. It’s not just about merit during these award shows, but also about the motivation behind the vote.

Excluding the obvious merit of each director, who is more relevant to what is going on in the world and what does their film have to say about it? There are a lot of British members in the Academy and the significance of the historical events of Dunkirk are almost at the level of mythology at this point within the UK. That combined with the fact that this is the first time that Nolan has been nominated for Best Director will carry a lot of weight going into the Oscars in March. Some would argue that this is a long time coming for a director of this caliber and if he won it would be more for his filmography than just his latest movie.

Then you have the favorite: Guillermo del Toro. He has taken almost every other directing award from multiple award shows. It is pretty evident that he has a very strong chance of taking this best directing statue too. The only other auteur who might be able to stop del Toro besides Nolan would be Jordan Peele and his eye-opening horror flick, Get Out. In this category, he is someone to watch out for as well. There is a lot of momentum behind this movie and he could just as easily take this Oscar.

Greta Gerwig also has a chance, but I don’t think as strong of a chance due to my prediction of Ladybird most likely winning Best Picture. If Ladybird wins Best Picture, then I do not think Gerwig will win Best Director. Likewise, the opposite could happen too. The Shape of Water could get Best Picture and Gerwig could win Best Director. It’s hard to say even when the award show is so close. Here is my Best Director breakdown:

  • Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water – Most Likely
  • Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk – Most Likely
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out – Likely
  • Greta Gerwig, Ladybird – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread – Unlikely

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Aaron Sorkin, Molly’s Game
  2. James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name
  3. Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green, Logan
  4. Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, The Disaster Artist
  5. Virgil Williams and Dee Rees, Mudbound

  When it comes to Best Adapted Screenplay, there is a unique group of films here. The most surprising of which is Logan. I never thought that this movie would get nominated here, but it is fun surprise to see this well deserved nod to a great movie. It may not have very strong chances of winning this award, but it is a very nice nod nevertheless.

Mudbound also doesn’t seem like it has much of a chance in this category and should also just enjoy that it got nominated like Logan. Both were great works of writing, but not on par with the other three nominees. The real wild card in this category and the one that could go either way is The Disaster Artist.

In light of the James Franco allegations, this movie seems to have taken a nosedive as far as being talked positively in the public eye. Everything now seems focused on Franco, rather than the merits of the film itself. Whether or not that causes it to lose or win will be interesting to see, but so far this is the only place that it garnered a nomination from the Academy.

At first glance, Aaron Sorkin is almost at this point a household name and has a lot of respectability in the awards circuit community with his quick-witted writing that he is known for throughout his filmography. But I think I have to hand it off to James Ivory’s screenplay for Call Me By Your Name because of all the buzz surrounding the movie. Molly’s Game might be a good, fun movie, yet Call Me By Your Name has “Oscar Scenes” that bode well for this time of year. For this category, James Ivory’s screenplay for Call Me By Your Name has the edge.

  • James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name – Most Likely
  • Aaron Sorkin, Molly’s Game – Likely
  • Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, The Disaster Artist – Likely (Wild Card)
  • Virgil Williams and Dee Rees, Mudbound – Unlikely
  • Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green, Logan – Unlikely

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani, The Big Sick
  2. Greta Gerwig, Ladybird
  3. Guillermo del Toro; Vanessa Taylor, The Shape of Water
  4. Jordan Peele, Get Out
  5. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Here is one of the other more difficult categories to figure out due to a number of circumstances. It could go in a multitude of ways, but I think this list of nominees does have a somewhat clear winner. Three of the five nominees here directed their own films and are nominated for Best Director, so the dynamic Writer-Director combo will have an effect on the proceedings. While the other remaining two nominees are really good ensemble pieces with great dialogue between characters.

They all could win this, but I think that Ladybird and The Big Sick are the weakest nominees here. They simply don’t have as much of a presence in the online conversation in this award like the other three nominees. The Shape of Water is somewhat in this race, but I think the same could be said for Get Out as well. Both are very well written and keep the story going at an exhilarating pace. The former has to navigate sign language, while the other has to fool the audience for just long enough with its premise before it really kicks it into high gear with all of its twists and turns.

Although I do think that Get Out is one of the most likely to win this award out of the nominees in contention. For me, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri looks like the clear winner. Ensemble pieces always seem to go hand-in-hand with great writing and it is hard to argue with the cast and dialogue in this movie. Here is my rundown for Best Original Screenplay:

  • Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri – Most Likely
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out – Likely
  • Guillermo del Toro; Vanessa Taylor, The Shape of Water – Likely
  • Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani, The Big Sick – Unlikely
  • Greta Gerwig, Ladybird – Unlikely

Well, there you have it. Those are my picks for Best Animated Feature, Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Original Screenplay. The third installment in this series will go over the acting nominees. With that, Godspeed and Jesus bless.

The Oscars 2018 Part I: Best Picture

Finally! It’s that time of year again: Oscar season. The time where the best films of last year are awarded prestigious prizes at the beginning of the new year to commemorate the latest and greatest works in cinema.

With that said, this month’s announcement of the nominations for the 2018 Oscars was full of snubs, surprises, and the same old Oscar-bait movies that inevitably always arrive here too. I have a lot of thoughts on the nominations and will break down my takeaway on each category, along with what will win and what should win.

Oh, and I’m not going to cover every category. Ain’t nobody got time for that. I’m just covering the ones where I have thoughts or predictions for how things are going to go at the awards ceremony. With that, let’s start with Best Picture.

Best Picture Nominees

  1. Call Me by Your Name
  2. Darkest Hour
  3. Dunkirk
  4. Get Out
  5. Lady Bird
  6. Phantom Thread
  7. The Post
  8. The Shape of Water
  9. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

A few first impressions before making my predictions. There are a couple of surprises here. I’m surprised that the Academy went with nine nominees this time and not with a shorter list. The movies here all deserve some sort of recognition, but I still think nine movies is too many.

There were a few films snubbed of being nominated for Best Picture that I saw in 2017 that earned their place on this list. Hostiles and War for the Planet of the Apes, for starters. Both were excellent in execution and entertainment value, respectively. If Baby Driver didn’t have Kevin Rapey in the movie, then it definitely would have had a shot at being nominated. Logan is another movie with great appeal across the board, so that would have been great too.

Movies like I, Tonya and The Disaster Artist would have also made sense to nominate here. Although, I think with all that is going on in the news, these are too risky to vote for best picture in the eyes of the Academy. For instance I, Tonya deals with a very divisive subject matter (i.e. the Tonya Harding incident) and the allegations thrown towards James Franco recently have possibly dissuaded voters from even considering the film in most categories. I am a bit puzzled as to why Darkest Hour was nominated and not The Florida Project instead. The latter seemed like a great fit voters and their typical taste in indie cinema, while the latter just looked like your paint-by-numbers Oscar movie. Either way, this is a good group of nominations.

So for the biggest prize of the night, there are a lot of ways this could go. For starters, the main five films in serious contention for this prize are Dunkirk, Get Out, Lady Bird, The Shape of Water, and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. The other four films (i.e. Call Me By Your Name, Darkest Hour, Phantom Thread, and The Post) are all nominated for being great in their own right, but have a very low chance of winning. This is because they are neither culturally or politically relevant enough in the awards conversation this year.

Since 2016 was the year of #OscarsSoWhite, Moonlight won partially to appease that criticism and mostly because it was better than La La Land. The movie that was one misplaced envelope away from winning that little gold statue. So too, this last year ended with the sexual assault scandals being unveiled in mid-October and continuing into the new year. Likewise, I believe this will have the greatest impact on the voting for the major categories.

With that, the Academy will be inclined to vote for a movie that makes them look good and will choose a movie that praises women the most. Those two movies are Lady Bird and The Shape of Water. If I had to put money on it, I’d place my bets on Lady Bird. Yet, as seen in the recent allegations sweeping across Hollywood, they also love kinky sexual encounters and nothing was more kinky this year than a deaf girl sleeping with a fish. Either way, those are the safest bets for winning Best Picture.

Next in line, would either be Dunkirk or Get Out. The former for its technical brilliance in structure and homages to the silent impressionist era of film, while the latter for its extremely unique storytelling and its ability to truly subvert genre expectations. Both are game changers and the Academy likes to award movies that are a bit of the old and the new like these two films. Honestly, of all the films nominated this year, I’d like to see either of these win the most, but their chances are lower than Lady Bird and The Shape of Water. It’s certainly possible, but less likely due to the aforementioned reasons noted above.

Lastly, the looming dark horse that has quickly gained steam late in the awards season this year has been Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri and it to could be an upset by winning the award. It does have a culturally and politically relevant subject matter. Such as its thematic dealings with law enforcement and racism. On the other hand, this movie has been marketed as more of an ensemble piece more than anything, so it may snag a couple key acting wins and miss out on this prize on March 4th. Regardless, here is my breakdown of the nine nominees running for Best Picture. Ranked from most likely to least likely to win the award:

  1. Lady Bird – Most Likely
  2. The Shape of Water – Most Likely
  3. Dunkirk – Likely
  4. Get Out – Likely
  5. Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri – Likely (Wild Card)
  6. The Post – Unlikely
  7. Phantom Thread – Unlikely
  8. Call Me By Your Name – Least Likely
  9. Darkest Hour – Least Likely

So those are my thoughts on what will win Best Picture at the Oscars this year. What do you think will win Best Picture at the Oscars? In Part II of my Oscars 2018 coverage and predictions, I will go over Best Animated Feature, Director, and Screenplays. With that, Godspeed and Jesus bless.